Peter Valentinovich Turchin (/ˈtɜːrtʃɪn/; Russian: Пётр Валенти́нович Турчи́н, IPA: [ˈpʲɵtr vəlʲɪnʲˈtʲinəvʲɪtɕ tʊrˈtɕin]; born 22 May 1957) is a Russian-American complexity scientist, specializing in an area of study he and his colleagues developed called cliodynamics—mathematical modeling and statistical analysis of the dynamics of historical societies.
Peter Turchin, Emeritus Professor at the University of Connecticut in the departments of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Anthropology, and Mathematics, is a project leader at the Complexity Science Hub Vienna and a research associate at the School of Anthropology of the University of Oxford. He was Editor-in-Chief and remains member of the editorial board at Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution. Turchin is a founding director of the Seshat: Global History Databank. He was a director of the Evolution Institute. In 2021 he was elected Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science.
Books in order of publication:
Quantitative Analysis of Movement: Measuring and Modeling Population Redistribution in Animals and Plants – 1998
Complex Population Dynamics: A Theoretical/Empirical Synthesis – 2003
Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall – 2003
War and Peace and War: The Rise and Fall of Empires – 2007
Secular Cycles – 2009
Ultrasociety: How 10,000 Years of War Made Humans the Greatest Cooperators on Earth -2016
Ages Of Discord – 2016
Figuring Out the Past; The 3,495 Vital Statistics that Explain World History -2020
End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites and the Path of Political Disintegration – 2023
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